TRACKING ELSA: Remnants from Tropical Storm Elsa could could bring downpours to NY Friday
News 12 meteorologists say the storm could produce downpours for our area.
News 12 Staff
•
Jul 6, 2021, 2:28 PM
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Updated 1,027 days ago
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Elsa weakened to a tropical storm as it threatened
Florida's northern Gulf Coast on Wednesday after raking past the Tampa Bay
region with gusty winds and heavy rain.
Forecasters said Elsa would slice across inland
north Florida as a tropical storm with strong rains and wind, then move on to
Georgia, the Carolinas and Virginia before heading out in the Atlantic Ocean by
Friday. Elsa's maximum
sustained winds stood at 65
mph early Wednesday. Its core was about
50 miles south southwest of Cedar Key. It was moving north at 14 mph, according to
the National Hurricane Center.
News 12 meteorologists are
tracking the storm, and say Elsa is expected to move up the East
Coast as a plume of tropical moisture that would produce periods of heavy tropical downpours with
flooding possible. The region will turn drier Friday afternoon as Elsa pulls
away.
WHAT: Heavy rain, high tide coastal flooding, beach erosion, and breezy
conditions are expected Thursday night into Friday as a two part weather system
interacts. A cold front stalls near the tri-state area on Thursday and tropical
moisture from Elsa converges with it offshore. Thunderstorms and downpours
Thursday night will lead to more downpours and coastal impacts by Friday
morning. Currently, Elsa looks to track within 100 miles of the New York City
metropolitan area, which is close enough for notable impacts.
Impacts are
currently as follows:
RAINFALL: 1-3"
HIGH SURF: Close to 5 ft possible.. (TBD as time gets closer)
HIGH TIDE FLOODING.
- MANASQUAN, NJ ~8PM THU & ~8AM FRI
- BAY SHORE, LI ~10PM THU & ~10:30AM FRI
- NYC ~8PM THU & ~9AM FRI
- NORWALK (LI SOUND) ~11PM THU & ~NOON FRI
SWELLS (Offshore): 20 feet
WIND: 20 - 30 mph sustained possible. 20-30% chance for tropical storm force
BEACH EROSION: Expected.
WHEN: Thursday
PM - Thunderstorms and scattered downpours. Tropical connection takes place and
flooding is possible with rain. Friday AM - Possible downpours to continue,
breezy, and widespread minor to moderate coastal impacts. Few major coastal
impacts.
WHERE: All areas of the tristate region.
UNCERTAINTY: Storm track is still everchanging. We are watching closely
for the weather pieces to come together. The cold front from the northwest will
stall - and this will be the "railroad tracks" or "roadway"
for Elsa to traverse to the northeast. There is also an area of fair weather
near Bermuda that is big enough to squeeze Elsa along the coast, preventing it
from going too far out to sea.
